UK Politics

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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Mon Jul 29, 2019 5:58 pm

Boris visit to Scotland, Brexit, veterans office, Boris not talking to Ireland
-Ruth Davidson refuses to back no deal Brexit "When I was debating against the pro-Brexit side in 2016, I don't remember anybody saying we should crash out of the EU with no arrangements in place to help maintain the vital trade that flows uninterrupted between Britain and the European Union.", a statement planned just before Boris visit to Edinburgh but after meeting he calls it constructive. Boris pledges £300 million extra cash for the four nations like deals in Falkirk, the Islands and Argyll and Bute, after being booed on way into Bute house Boris let by backdoor

-Papers on Boris attempts to get no deal planning going faster and Boris attempts to soothe the union being spiked by Ruth Davidson

- Gove to chair the Daily Operations Committee to coordinate Brexit and give reports to Boris every day with Sunak there to ensure Treasury doesn't become a blocker while Boris will chair Exit, Economy and Trade Committee, sets up a Monday war cabinet with Gove, Javid, Raab, Cox and Barclay with Swinson noting it is all men. Government to spend 100 million on Brexit advertising and information campaign, Raab says EU needs to drop it's stubborn attitude to avoid no deal, trade talks with EU will be easier after no deal (not seen a single expert agree with him on that), will travel to other continents to seek trade deals, Vote Leave always said there might be no deal and when journalists say they don't remember that he takes a swipe at the BBC.

Boris says EU didn't know what UK wanted under May, creates confusion as he says he disagrees with Gove and assumption is for a deal with no deal a million to one, number 10 making clear Boris "no talks till backstop gone" with any EU leader is real but Boris says apart from that he is willing to an extra thousand miles to reach agreement,

Irish government study says no deal would cost 7% of GDP over ten years compared to a deal. Corbyn says he would hold referendum even if Labour came to power and will do all he can to stop no deal, Vauxhall says they will pull out of Ellesmere Port if no deal makes working there unprofitable and already have alternatives planned. Pound weeps and crumbles at the hardening of no deal stances today and during weekend. Conor Burns wishes May's government had allowed such a no deal media blitz before, CBI warns neither EU or UK are ready for no deal, Sir Letwin says he is has been in talks with Sir Stramer about stopping no deal

-Former army officer Mercer takes new role of Veterans Minister while Dowden will represent them in cabinet

-Boris hasn't spoken to Vadaker (this seems a strange move in circumstances) and hints he isn't inclined for second Scottish referendum. Sinn Feinn says Boris failure to speak to Ireland is offensive and rude

-Inquiry into Frank Field dropped due to no longer being minister

-Truss says they are keen on US deal but won't put NHS up for sale to do it

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-Kettle Boris is sacraficing union for Brexit

-Jonathan Cooper Boris LGBT record

-John Harris Boris ability to tap into electorate's punk attitude shouldn't be underestimated

-D'Ancona Boris team aim to win rather then govern

-Institute of Government has done a 24 page PDF on no deal and preparing for it
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Tue Jul 30, 2019 5:12 pm

Brexit, the union, Boris talks with foreign powers
-Papers on collapse of the pound due to Brexit and Scottish backlash to Boris

-Drakeford says Boris has no mandate for no deal and it would catastrophic for Wales, Boris says he will back British farmers during Brexit and the trading opportunities will be great for our food industry while as soon as EU realizes backstop has to go then a very good deal can be reached, UK chief negotiator David Frost warns counterparts not to fall into common trap of underestimating Boris and willingness to go out on no deal is real but also believes Olly Robbins deserved better then treatment he got from Brexiteers. Sturgeon says exchange with Boris was lively and she believes he wants no deal as hard to see how he keep his hardline position and get a deal, Raab says 4 billion already spent on preparing for Brexit.

Cairns says government wants to avoid no deal but needs to shift of attitudes from EU, Farmer's Union of Wales says no deal would cause civil unrest as Welsh farming and food industry bodies raise major concerns (including warnings about said civil unrest) about no deal Brexit, Hilary Benn points out government's number 1 priority right now is something Boris says is one a million change.

-Labour call for Field to be expelled now rather then wait for Tory inquiry to finish, police say they are taking no action.

-Boris says he is Ruth Davidson's number 1 fan but is a sense among press Ruth Davidson is badly weakened by saying of an ally and replaced by an English based MP and her failure to keep all 13 Scottish Tory MP's behind her

-Pound is doing better then the Madagascan Ariary in last week. Everyone else is doing better then the pound

-Bank of England to demand banks show their bankruptcy would not take down the finical system, their living wills could cover the cost

-Trump speaking about phone call to Boris "We don’t do the kind of trade we could do with - what some people say is Great Britain, and some people remember - a word you don’t hear too much is England, which is a piece of it."

-Sinn Fein’s president, Mary Lou McDonald, says due to Brexit even N.Ireland unionists are growing in support of united Ireland and Ireland should begin planning for such a possibility, a return of hard border could oblige a referendum, little progress has been made on Stormont due to usual three issues, direct rule (which Boris and co have not ruled out) would be a threat to all Ireland

-Boris speaks to Vadaker on phone at last, UK calls it warm and that Boris confirmed he would never have infrastructure at the border, Ireland's version of events says Vadaker warned Boris EU is united that withdrawal agreement can't be reopened and no good alternative to backstop has bee found. Since then, Boris is insisting there is a good alternative and that there conversation was really good

-Corbyn speaks to anti-fracking protesters, opposes fracking as damaging to environment and pledges a green industrial revolution

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-Alistair Campbell has no wish to rejoin Labour once legal challenge on expulsion is done, has also mentioned he fears Labour are making same mistakes as Australia Labour when leader Bill Shorten polled badly and partly polled really well, party that they would win and lost. Praises Sir Stramer as a good MP.

-Lord Hague says Boris big challenge must be to Brexit without breaking up the UK and Boris should listen to Ruth Davidson

-Bridgen wants HS2 cancelled

-Josh Hardie (CBI's deputy director general) on prep for no deal Brexit "If you see a storm coming, you put down the sandbags, it doesn't mean you're going to stop all the flood water, you'll probably still lose the kitchen but you might save the bedroom and that's where we are right now." and warns meeting with government needs scaling up now, Sir Letwin admits it may not be possible to block no deal and makes sense for government to prepare for it. Lord Jim O'Neil on currency traders “A lot of big foreign exchange and hedge fund type people [are] probably looking at what’s coming out the UK as almost close to a free lunch... [A lot] are saying thank goodness for Boris, he’s giving us a chance to make some money.”, warns the pound faces quite a challenge.

-O'Mara says he is deeply ashamed of the texts he sent to female employee and that he did it during mental breakdown

-Rumours at local level, Tories asked Brexit party not to stand in Brecon and Radnorshire

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- Carl Baudenbacher wants a EEA Brexit

-Charlie Cooper and Annabelle Dickson Brexit stand off

-Peter Foster some farming facts and figures

-Toynbee is not scared of Boris but worried by Corbyn's failings
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Wed Jul 31, 2019 6:38 pm

N.Ireland, Brexit
-Patel says Facebook seeking to boost encryption is hampering police

-Papers on Prince Harry and climate change, Times saying Farage rules out electoral pact with Tories while Cummings is there as doubts Cummings Brexit commitment and personal animosity

-Home Affairs Select Committee says government (they mean May's) response to knife crime has been wholly inadequate, Scottish Affairs Committee wants a rewrite of agricultural funding rules and warns current seasonal work scheme needs way more people

-Boris promises to do all in his power to restore Stormont and will be completely impartial in talks (Sinn Feinn have said they doubt it), believes he can get deal as soon as EU willing to compromise, will intervene to help Welsh farmers in no deal, common sense to stick with zero tariff system, would give Welsh government export refunds to hand out, got booed in Wales

-Press can't find anything to backup Raab's claim he and Gove said no deal was a possibility, Drakeford says he didn't manage to get a sense of plan on how to get deal from Boris or any details of no deal protection to Welsh industries, Verhofstadt does not hide his feelings, Blackford challenges Davidson to vow to vote down no deal but Davidson says she doesn't deal with hypotheticals. Mary Lou McDonald accuses Boris of being complacent about damage no deal will do to the whole of Ireland, Thornberry says Labour should back Remain in all circumstances, Boris dispatches David Frost to Brussels

-Press noting Boris has been hidden away from media in tour of the UK

-Sterling rallies

-Foster says confidence and supply deal still applies with Boris Tories, welcomes veterans minister, Boris is passionate for union but neutral on government of N.Ireland and people should not confuse the two issues, Boris is not minded to border poll, deal with Tories has brought more money to N.Ireland, Ireland should reign in the language and talk to Boris, no deal leading to unite Ireland is project fear mark 2. Mary Lou McDonald warns DUP deal has poisoned waters in N.Ireland and Boris needs to stop mollycoddling DUP and make the face reality, Boris comments on legacy issues have been very troubling, DUP have sought to frustrate the social rights of N.Ireland, direct rule would be very dangerous.

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-Brexit candidate Des Parkinson sets out why people should vote for him at byelection rather then Tories Chris Davies

-Stephen Hammond opposes no deal, DUP chief whip Jeffery Donaldson says risks of no deal are significant, Lord Hain says Boris should visit people near Irish border to see the impact no deal would have

-Dodds says anyone talking about no deal leading to united Ireland is breach of Belfast agreement

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-Professor Angus Hawkins UK being a country of two party politics is a myth

-James Moore Brexiteers seem to be ignoring what US is saying about any trade deal

-Reality Check on lamb exports

-Aditya Chakrabortty warns left is too complacent about Boris and sets out strategy to beat him

-Shane Harrison warns UK is misreading Dublin and the EU
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Thu Aug 01, 2019 5:46 pm

Brexit, Bank of England
-Buckland calls for all those alleged to have committed serious crimes to be given anonymity till charged but Downing Street denies this and strips him of media duty

-Javid gives extra 2.1 billion to no deal Brexit preparations, Meg Hillier bemoans an expensive form of megaphone warfare with Brussels, government using the phrase turbo-charge a lot. Vadaker says everyone should be afraid of no deal Brexit, Boris should be given a fair wind to prove himself neutral on Stormont matters, wonders if some quoting Good Friday Agreement have actually read it. Francois says no sensible government would legislate for deal before Oct31st as would be too much opposition in parliament, even if backstop was gone he would oppose deal as much more wrong with it

-Papers on no deal Brexit planning or plastic waste victory

-Villiers delighted at how much plastic waste has been cut down in a year (halved)

-Frank Field warns some parents are going without food to feed children and they need help

-Royal Portraits removed from N.Ireland office Belfast building

-Malthouse suggests emergency budget in autumn

-Interest rates held, Bank of England says one in three chance of recession, reduces growth forecasts to 1.3% based on smooth deal but inflation would likely rise more then expected, Carney says a limit to stimlusus they could provide in no deal and he is getting a lot of calls with risk of no deal rising, uncertainty is still better then no deal

-Rees-Mogg says Boris is deeply trustworthy on Brexit and he was "gulled" when May extended deadline, politicians are thick skinned enough to get over Cummings insults, Bercow is a fair minded umpire, EU needs to realize Boris is serious about no deal, EU can act quickly when it wants to so new deal could be done in time, will step down as ERG head after summer recess.


=====

-Reality Check did Gove or Raab mention no deal during referendum?

-John Denham urges Labour to tackle English issues

-Kettle keep an eye on Wales
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Fri Aug 02, 2019 6:40 pm

by-election, Brexit, Frank Field
-Papers on Whaley Bridge being evacuated for flooding as reservoir dam starts to collapse and Mark Carney

-Lib Dems take Brecon and Radnorshire, government majority reduced to 1, turnout 59.6%. Lib Dem Wales leader and former social worker Jane Dodds won 13,826 votes, a 43.46% share and improve their share by 14.36%, Chris Davies second with 12,401 at 38.98% with a loss of 9.62%, a swing of 12%. Brexit party stood with former policeman Des Parkinson, 3,331votes gave them 10.47% share. Labour struggled but by-elections often turn into two way battles, local councillor Tom Davies got 1,680 votes , a 5.28% share and down 12%. Turnout highest at byelection since 97

Great result for Lib Dems, an early victory for Swinson, keeps Lib Dems place as the Remain party with momentum and were helped by Plaid and Greens starting aside so we might see more of that. Awkward for Tories, they can rightly argue local issues like the sitting MP's scandal undermined the Boris bounce and Tory HQ struggled to get MP's out there to campaign given the scandal+other distractions but that is a majority of one and "how appealing is Boris really" may just be starting, Tories focusing their fire on Labour and saying Lib Dems were meant to have thrashed them so didn't do well. Awkward for Brexit Party, they will face constantly the questions of how they hampered Brexit by strengthening Remain parties via failure to stand aside. Labour were going to be squeezed here and it wasn't a focus point as by-elections tend to go on two but is a feeling Corbyn and Drakeford did not sell on doorsteps and it raises more questions about their Brexit stance+electability. UKIP finish below Monster Raving Loony Party

-Javid orders HMRC to make Brexit prep top priority, Hillier questions how border force can get the guards they need in 92 days, Carney says government isn't aiming for no deal but is a significant chance of no deal and business investment is unusually weak due to Brexit uncertainty, believes finical system is prepared for even worst Brexit.

-Collins has written to Clegg over evidence Facebook gave to his committee that seems to have been misleading

-Labour calls for national education service to counter-act decline in adult learning

-Prisoners will be allowed to vote in Shetland MSP by-election

-Frank Field to run in next election as “Birkenhead Social Justice” candidate rather then Labour, had been a Labour MP for 39 years before resigning over anti-Semitism and lost confidence vote last year, a few MP's may keep an eye on how he does to see if independents can beat the big party.

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-Francois accuses Carney of undermining UKs negotiating stance, IDS says it is simply what Carney does as an architect of project fear

-Professor Curtice says an early election risks Boris losing due to Lib Dems with Boris bounce soft

-Bryant feels Labour's ambiguous Brexit stance damaged them in Brecon

-Bradshaw has written to Raab asking him to apologize for misleading public in saying no deal was discussed in referendum

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-Lewis Goodall Lib Dem revival a problem for Tories

-Katy Balls Brexit party hampers Tories
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Sat Aug 03, 2019 5:58 pm

Patel, select committees
-Patel wants to empower police officers and make people feel terror at mere thought of crime, backs Australian style immigration system, death penalty quotes taken out of context (I saw the QT where she said it, they weren't)

- Environment Agency and Natural England calls for investment in green initiatives

-Papers on byelection and expecting NHS cash boost to be announced soon

-Brecon was quickest by-election defeat for a PM (eight days for Boris) since WW2, Cleverly bemoans dirty Remain deal (has more then a sense of sour grapes)

-Home Affairs Select Committee want a police officer at every school, Works and Pensions Committee accuse government of bulling carers

-Dr Lee says he isn't the only one considering his future as a Tory MP if government pursues no deal

-Farage says Boris may have to consider election pact with Brexit party
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Sun Aug 04, 2019 6:09 pm

Brexit, electoral manoeuvres
-Sunday Telegraph says Cummings has briefed MP's it is too late to stop no deal, Sunday Times says People's Vote are aiming to deselect Tory Brexiteers via tactical voting

-Barclay says Barnier has no mandate given extent of change in European elections so should ask for instructions to reopen talk, EU needs to face reality that they face no deal without removing "the undemocratic" backstop

-Hancock says Tories are the party of the NHS with a budget now bigger then Nasa's, been announcement of 1.8 billion one-off cash boost to help upgrade some hospitals (generally seen as a tiny boost though helpful to have some capital expenditure)

-Abbott and Davey feel Patel hasn't an idea on the real causes of crime

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-Lloyd Russell-Moyle Labour needs to back Remain

-Chairman of the Brexit Party, Richard Tice says Tories can't get a majority are are finished in current form without a proper Brexit, Banks saying ten Tory MP's have called him begging him to get Farage not to stand Brexit candidates against them

-Swinson says she has been in talks with potential defectors and those opposed to no deal have to stand up and be counted

-Kevin Holliranke running for Treasury chair

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-Sam McBride concerned at N.Ireland Office bungling of the royal pictures story

-Patrick O'Flynn says Brecon results has been misread expect Farage to make deal with Tories

-Tony Parsons (sun) Boris needs to learn to upset people (bar one attack on Vadaker, rest of his article is not political)

-Philip Inman now is not the time for Boris t0 turn on spending taps
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Mon Aug 05, 2019 6:44 pm

not much
-Papers on the horrors in US and pension rip-offs, Times saying Boris preparing a people vs parliament election

-Cleverly says no general election before Brexit dead

-Sir Grieve says Cumming is technically right but in practise no deal can still be stopped

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-Jessica Elgot on trigger ballots

-Simon Jenkin with a touch of despair that Boris is not in Dublin [url]

-Sean O'Grady [url=https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/boris-johnson-brexit-indyref2-sturgeon-scotland-independence-union-a9039986.html] Scotland will leave the UK
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Tue Aug 06, 2019 5:37 pm

Brexit, Islamphobia inquiry
-Papers on Brussels expecting no deal

-McDonnell expects confidence vote by Labour next month, is a sense the shadow chancellor is going to try to use Javid's banking experiences against him

-EU negotiators have warned EU leaders there is no point in talks while UK has such unacceptable demands, government saying they hope EU changes their mind and takes hand of friendship to restart talks. Wales Brexit Minister Jeremy Miles warns Westminster needs to change ambivalent and sometimes high-handed attitude towards devolution after Brexit and no deal would really test the union's existence, Hancock says the clear defeat of attempt by parliament to seize timetable has led him to believe no deal can't be stopped.

-Raab to tour N.America

-Tories to have independent inquiry into Islamophobia but Cleverly ruins it by saying party needs to decide a definition first

-Sturgeon says there is a growing urgency for Scotland to become independent with Boris trying to take Scotland down a path they don't want to go, it should be a constant question why Westminster blocks a democratic referendum

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-Former US treasury secretary Larry Summers says UK lacks leverage in US trade talks and is clearly desperate so won't be a deal as US will push hard

-Ofcom says Jon Snow's comments about Brexit rally was accurate but perhaps unwise and clears Farage's response as not inciting violence

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-Tania Mathias pleased with Boris start on NHS

-Toynbee feels Cummings is destroying Boris chances and a national unity goverment is best hope for both country plus Labour

-Professor Anastasia Nesvetailova on Javid
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Re: UK Politics

Unread postby Dong Zhou » Wed Aug 07, 2019 5:23 pm

Select Committee's, Labour to allow Scottish referendum, would Boris go if no confidence, Brexit
-Health Select Committee wish to talk to Hancock about nurses pension scandal with government setting out new doctor pension proposals to end strike, Dfid Committee wants strong lead from UK on protecting aid workers, Defence Committee concerned at amount of harassment complaints in armed forces and complaint process needs overhaul as no faith in it (MOD has agreed to overhauls)

-Sturgeon hints there could be a progressive alliance with Labour if they got enough seats that such an arrangement would form majority, McDonnell says Labour won't block a second Scottish referendum and up to Holyrood on if there should be one (this has raised considerable alarm)

-Papers on Brexit stand off

-Heavy rumours that if Boris lost a no confidence vote, he would just ride it out for two weeks while McDonnell says Corbyn would not step down to allow a government of national unity and worries Boris is unstable

-Food Industry asking for certain competition laws to be waived if no deal so they can coordinate their response, Gove deeply saddened EU don't seem to want to negotiate, Raab says EU is being intransigent. Vadaker says his offer of talks without conditions remains open and he feels a border poll after no deal would be divisive and risk repeat of 100 years ago but this time with unionists being brought into a United Ireland they do not want. Ireland's Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe met Javid for Brexit talks and says no deal is more likely under Boris, a group of MP's have gone to court to stop proroguing

-Boris first meeting with foreign leader is Estonian Prime Minister Juri Ratas

-Lucy Manning and Philip Kemp talk to MP's about threats MP's face, horrific stuff.

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-Lisa Forbes school uniform costs

-Ian Murray horrified at McDonnell's comments

-Fiona Onasanya struck off from being solicitor

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-Michael Segalov calls for US style primaries for each MP

-Aditya Chakrabortty warns superich are the real problem that needs dealing with

-Lewis Goodall no dealers desire and political ability both stronger then those that oppose them

-Ayesha Hazarika wrorried about breakup of union
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