It really depends on whether Cao Cao was killed or not. If he hadn't died, it is likely that he would have retreated to Luoyang and eventually defeat Ma Chao. If he was killed, then Cao Pi and Xiahou Dun would take over.
However; Cao Zhi would probably claim the throne and probably take Xu. Sima Yi and other geniuses would join him because of his abilities.
Liu Bei would ally with Ma Chao and take Northern Jing and Xu Chang. Cao Pi, assuming he escapes, would retreat to Ye.
Xiahou Dun. Xiahou Yuan, Cao Ren, Cao Xiu and Cao Zhen would be split over who to serve and rivalries would develop.
Cao Zhang would probably join Liu Bei, as he has little chance of wresting power from his brothers.
Liu Bei would rescue the Emperor. Sun Quan would invade South Jing. Liu Bei would form an alliance with Cao Zhi and invade Sun Quan from two sides. Wu would crumble.
They would split the territory and Zhuge Liang would persuade many Wu officers to join, along with Cao Zhi and Xu. Liu Zhang would remain neutral.
After that, what would happen is uncertain. If Sima Yi had joined Cao Pi, then Liu Bei would be held off for many years. During that time he would be joined by Ma Chao and Zhang Lu.
It could happen in lots of different ways. This is how I think it might have happened.
Last edited by Sima Hui
on Sun Feb 01, 2004 5:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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